The new 8 to 14 outlook from the Weather Prediction has some good news for warm spring weather fans. From March 10 through 16 there is a 60% chance that temperatures will be above average. Seasonal temperatures by the middle of March range from the mid-40s to the lower 50s. Meanwhile, the precipitation outlook for the same period has above average rainfall. So this could be a very interesting mid-March forecast. 8 to 14 day precipitation outlook issued March 2, 2017. (WPC, NOAA)
Since weather records for the winter season are kept from December 1 through February 28, we can now pass along some interesting stats from the season that was. ((Can you believe it’s already March??))
A vicious and early start to tornado season.
The big story of the second month of 2017 was all the warmth that was experienced. It ended up being 11.2° above average for the month as a whole and was the warmest February in Fort Wayne’s recorded history.
Damaging winds, large hail, and heavy rainfall all reported with the storms that moved through Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.
Heavy rain tapering from west to east this morning.
Some hail stones approached ping-pong ball size
An update on threats and timing
Strong to severe thunderstorms developing overnight.
With our first chances of severe weather occurring at the end of last week, and another chance headed our way this week (late Tue/early Wed), I wanted to post this graphic from the Storm Prediction Center. It provides a great breakdown of the terminology you hear us talk about regarding our severe weather risk level.
Marginal chance of severe storms through much of the area.
Expect breezy, but brighter, weather for skating downtown today
With a much colder air mass moving in, temperatures fell throughout the day and gusty winds made it feel like it was only in the 20s and teens.
The upcoming month may start on a mild note, but cooler air looks to follow.
As Nicholas and Rob mentioned in their Facebook LIVE video earlier tonight, our severe storm threat would be diminishing, while scattered (non-severe) rain and thunderstorms would remain through the evening. Soon after their video concluded, the Severe Thunderstorm Watch in effect for the region was canceled.
Not as widespread; damaging winds still biggest threat
By the numbers, this will be a stretch to remember.
Our area is still in the enhanced risk area for severe thunderstorms this afternoon and tonight.
Our forecast scenario for Friday has not changed much from earlier updates. The entire area remains under an enhanced risk for severe storms on Friday, primarily from late afternoon through late night. Gusty, damaging winds continue to be the primary severe storm threat.
Elevated risk for Friday with severe storms possible.