Update on Wed night/Thursday severe storm potential

With warm, humid air all around us contributing to atmospheric instability, plus a front positioned nearby and sinking south through the area between now and Thursday night, periods of rain and thunderstorms are possible.  These storms could very well squeeze out another 1″-3″ inches of rainfall, in some spots, as they move through.  Everyone should be on alert for potential flooding and torrential downpours with these storms.

Timing these storms is a challenge, since the presence of one round of storms will affect when the following round (or rounds) of storms will develop.

Based on the latest data, the Live Doppler 15 Fury Storm Team is pinpointing 2 windows of opportunity on Thursday when severe storms are most likely.  These are 3 am – 9 am and 3 pm – 9 pm.  Conditions will be mainly dry outside of those hours.  There’s a higher confidence in the morning round of storms developing than the afternoon and evening ones.  The passage of an incoming cold front across our area may end up focusing the PM storm activity to our south, missing us.  But, this is not yet set in stone.

While flooding remains the greatest threat with any storms that develop, the day’s storms will also bring dangerous lightning, potentially damaging winds, and hail.  There is also a slight potential for isolated tornadoes.

Continue to check in on our NewsChannel 15 newscasts for updates and watch our regularly updated WANE video forecasts.

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