Opinion polls: tight race in Greek vote, ‘no’ likely to win

People wait their turn to cast their vote at a polling station in Athens, Sunday, July 5, 2015. Greeks began voting early Sunday in a closely-watched, closely-contested referendum, which the government pits as a choice over whether to defy the country's creditors and push for better repayment terms or essentially accept their terms, but which the opposition and many of the creditors paint as a choice between staying in the euro or leaving it. (AP Photo/Emilio Morenatti)
Poster depicting German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble reading ''For five years he is drinking your blood, now tell him NO'' is seen over another one reading ''Yes to Greece, Yes to Euro'' referring to the upcoming referendum in Athens, Friday, July 3, 2015. The brief but intense campaign in Greece's critical bailout referendum ends Friday, with simultaneous rallies in Athens supporting "yes" and "no" answers to a murky question in what an opinion poll suggests could be a very close vote.  (AP Photo/Thanassis Stavrakis)
Poster depicting German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble reading ”For five years he is drinking your blood, now tell him NO” is seen over another one reading ”Yes to Greece, Yes to Euro” referring to the upcoming referendum in Athens, Friday, July 3, 2015. (AP Photo/Thanassis Stavrakis)

ATHENS, Greece (AP) — Greece faced an uncharted future as officials counted the results of a referendum Sunday on whether to accept creditors’ demands for more austerity in exchange for rescue loans, with three opinion polls showing a tight race with a narrow victory likely for the “no” side.

Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras, who was gambling the future of his 5-month-old left-wing government on the hastily called referendum, insisted that a “no” vote would strengthen his hand to negotiate a better deal with creditors, while a “yes” result would mean capitulating to their harsh demands.

The opposition has accused Tsipras of jeopardizing the country’s membership in the 19-nation club that uses the euro and says a “yes” vote is about keeping the common currency.

The vote was held amid banking restrictions imposed last Monday to halt a bank run, with Greeks queuing up at ATMs across the country to withdraw a maximum 60 euros per day. Banks have been shut all week, and it is uncertain when they will reopen.

The opinion polls, conducted for major television networks, all showed the “no” vote was likely to emerge victorious, with differences of about three to four percentage points. No exit polls were conducted for Greece’s first referendum in 41 years.

Governing left-wing Syriza party Eurodeputy Dimitris Papadimoulis said that “Greek people are proving they want to remain in Europe” as equal members “and not as a debt colony.”

Papadimoulis said the country should wait for the official and final results of Sunday’s referendum, and called on his fellow countrymen to remain calm.

Minister of State Nikos Papas, speaking on Alpha television, said it would be “wrong to link a ‘no’ result to an exit from the eurozone. If a ‘no’ prevails that will help us get a better agreement.”

Tsipras’ high-stakes brinkmanship with lenders from the eurozone countries and the International Monetary Fund resulted in Greece defaulting on its debts this week and shutting down its banks to avoid their collapse. He called the referendum last weekend, giving both sides just a week to campaign.

“Today, democracy is defeating fear … I am very optimistic,” Tsipras said earlier in the day after voting in in Athens.

European officials have openly urged Greeks to vote against the government’s recommendation.

“I hope people say ‘yes,'” European Parliament President Martin Schulz told German public radio. “If after the referendum, the majority is a ‘no,’ they will have to introduce another currency because the euro will no longer be available for a means of payment.”

People stand in a queue to use an ATM of a bank during the referendum day voting in Athens, Sunday, July 5, 2015. Greeks began voting early Sunday in a closely-watched, closely-contested referendum, which the government pits as a choice over whether to defy the country's creditors and push for better repayment terms or essentially accept their terms, but which the opposition and many of the creditors paint as a choice between staying in the euro or leaving it. (AP Photo/Thanassis Stavrakis)
People stand in a queue to use an ATM of a bank during the referendum day voting in Athens, Sunday, July 5, 2015. (AP Photo/Thanassis Stavrakis)

As voters flocked to polling stations, large lines once again formed at ATMs.

Daniel Tsangaridis, a 35-year-old Athens resident, said he didn’t expect banks to reopen soon, despite a government pledge to do so on Tuesday.

“It’s not going to happen in the next 48 hours,” he said. “If the situation improves and we can have a deal, then the banks will open.”

Tsipras’ left-wing Syriza party came to power in January after a six-year recession. Since then, the standoff between Athens and its international lenders has grown more bitter, and early signs of some economic growth and recovering employment in Greece have disappeared.

The debt-wracked nation also suffered repeated ratings downgrades and lost access to billions of euros after its existing bailout deal expired last week.

Polls published Friday showed the two sides in a dead heat with an overwhelming majority — about 75 percent — wanting Greece to remain in the euro currency.

“Today, we Greeks decide on the fate of our country,” conservative opposition leader Antonis Samaras said. “We vote ‘yes’ to Greece. We vote ‘yes’ to Europe.”

The sense of urgency was palpable as Greeks struggled to decipher a convoluted referendum question after being bombarded with frenzied messages warning of the country’s swiftly approaching financial collapse.

Neither result on Sunday, however, would lead to a clear answer on what Greece should do about its overstretched finances.

Greece is no longer in a bailout program since its previous package expired last Tuesday. It now has to negotiate a new one with its creditors that involves even more money for the government and banks and new economic austerity measures.

Despite the Greek government’s assertion that a “no” vote will not lead to a euro exit, most experts agree it would open up more uncertain financial outcomes.

A number of European politicians, including Jeroen Dijsselbloem, the top eurozone official, have said a “no” vote would jeopardize Greece’s place in the 19-nation eurozone. Investors are also likely to believe a “no” win increases the chance of a so-called “Grexit,” where Greece returns to its own old currency.

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Online:

Official referendum website: http://www.referendum2015gov.gr/en/

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Associated Press writers Elena Becatoros, Greg Katz, Iuliia Subbotovskaia and Eftehia Katsareas in Athens, Greece, and Pan Pylas in London contributed to this report.

 

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